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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
19 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 41%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Qatar: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavcaught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · Mohammed Nadeem 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · b Mohammed Nadeem | 37 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 78.72 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Muhammad Tanveer · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Tanveer · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Y Saranonnakkuncaught · Mohammed Rizlan · Ikramullah Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Rizlan · b Ikramullah Khan | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| S Desungnoencaught · Muhammad Jabir · Saqlain Arshad 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Muhammad Jabir · b Saqlain Arshad | 26 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 136.84 |
| Austin Lazarusrun out · Owais Ahmed · Saqlain Arshad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Owais Ahmed | 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| N Salekarnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 23 | 2 | 0 | 121.74 |
|---|
| Jandre Coetzeelbw · Ikramullah Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ikramullah Khan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| S Rungrueangcaught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · Ikramullah Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · b Ikramullah Khan | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nouman Sarwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Nadeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saqlain Arshad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| H Rathod0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Muhammad Tanveer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 3.2) · 2-29 (Y Saranonnakkun, 5.5) · 3-63 (S Desungnoen, 11.3) · 4-65 (Austin Lazarus, 11.5) · 5-98 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 15.5) · 6-106 (Jandre Coetzee, 17.2) · 7-122 (S Rungrueang, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 30/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 44/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 50/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 53/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 66/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 78/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 83/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 90/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 98/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 105/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 110/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 116/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 122/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.