Sydney ThunderversusAdelaide Strikers

Sydney Thunder started on 36%; Sydney Thunder batted first.

Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 64%).

Biggest swings

1. 1.3: D Brown to G Voll, four by G Voll. Sydney Thunder up from 40% to 48%.
2. 2.2: ML Schutt to G Voll, six by G Voll. Sydney Thunder up from 53% to 59%.
3. 5.1: O Prendergast to AC Jayangani, AC Jayangani out. Adelaide Strikers up from 35% to 43%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.