Lucknow Super GiantsversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

27 May 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 6 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs227/3 Royal Challengers Bengaluru18.4 overs230/4 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 47%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 90% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 10% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.4: N Thushara to MP Breetzke, MP Breetzke out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 41% to 52%.
2nd inns 11.2: Avesh Khan to V Kohli, V Kohli out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 75% to 85%.
2nd inns 14.3: Shahbaz Ahmed to JM Sharma, six by JM Sharma. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 39% to 51%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants227/3 Royal Challengers Bengaluru230/4

Innings 1