Sunrisers HyderabadversusChennai Super Kings

18 Apr 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 10 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs194/9 Chennai Super Kings20.0 overs184/8 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 53%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Chennai Super Kings is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 24% to 98% during the match (Chennai Super Kings: 2% to 76%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 5.1: E Malinga to RD Gaikwad, RD Gaikwad out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 40% to 58%.
2nd inns 11.4: Shivang Kumar to D Brevis, D Brevis out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 51% to 75%.
2nd inns 15.4: E Malinga to MW Short, MW Short out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 47% to 69%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad194/9 Chennai Super Kings184/8

Innings 1