OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Gibraltar started on 43%; Gibraltar batted first.
Gibraltar's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Sweden: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Pylecaught · Saeed Ahmed (2) · Abdul Naser Baluch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saeed Ahmed (2) · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
| L Brucecaught · Imal Zuwak · Abdul Naser Baluch 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Zuwak · b Abdul Naser Baluch | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| PA Raikescaught · Imal Zuwak · Prashant Shukla 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Zuwak · b Prashant Shukla | 23 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 67.65 |
| BA Paicaught · Samiullah Rahmani · Hamid Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Samiullah Rahmani · b Hamid Mahmood | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| IDM Latincaught · Abdur Rahman Sudais · J Stanigze 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Abdur Rahman Sudais · b J Stanigze | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
| KJ Stagnocaught · J Stanigze · Prashant Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b Prashant Shukla | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| JA Fitzgeraldlbw · Samiullah Rahmani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Samiullah Rahmani | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| KJ Ferraryrun out · A Mundra, Saeed Ahmed (2) · J Stanigze 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Mundra, Saeed Ahmed (2) | 30 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| S Bodhabowled · Samiullah Rahmani 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samiullah Rahmani | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| J Horrocksnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluch1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Khalid Zahid0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Prashant Shukla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamid Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| J Stanigze0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Samiullah Rahmani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (C Pyle, 4.2) · 2-13 (L Bruce, 4.5) · 3-40 (BA Pai, 11.2) · 4-58 (IDM Latin, 13.4) · 5-60 (PA Raikes, 14.1) · 6-63 (KJ Stagno, 15.0) · 7-74 (JA Fitzgerald, 17.0) · 8-86 (S Bodha, 19.0) · 9-99 (KJ Ferrary, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 39/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 55/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 63/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 67/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 74/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 79/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 86/8 |
| 20 | 13 | 99/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.