Los Angeles Knight RidersversusWashington Freedom

1 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Washington Freedom won by 6 wickets

Los Angeles Knight Riders17.5 overs108/10 Washington Freedom17.1 overs110/4 Knight Riders Cricket Ground, Pomona ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 38%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Washington Freedom is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Washington Freedom: 54% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.2: BJ Dwarshuis to ADS Fletcher, ADS Fletcher out. Washington Freedom up from 57% to 68%.
6.4: MJ Owen to MW Tromp, MW Tromp out. Washington Freedom up from 62% to 69%.
9.3: IG Holland to JN Hamilton, JN Hamilton out. Washington Freedom up from 73% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders108/10 Washington Freedom110/4

Innings 1