Quetta GladiatorsversusIslamabad United

2 Apr 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Islamabad United won by 8 wickets

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs183/5 Islamabad United18.2 overs189/2 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 56%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 0% to 78% during the match (Islamabad United: 22% to 100%).

Biggest swings

11.5: Shadab Khan to BJ Jacobs, BJ Jacobs out. Islamabad United up from 55% to 66%.
2nd inns 4.6: Abrar Ahmed to DP Conway, DP Conway out. Quetta Gladiators up from 38% to 51%.
2nd inns 6.5: Abrar Ahmed to AGS Gous, AGS Gous out. Quetta Gladiators up from 42% to 55%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators183/5 Islamabad United189/2

Innings 1