Islamabad UnitedversusPeshawar Zalmi

2 May 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Peshawar Zalmi won by 6 wickets

Islamabad United20.0 overs143/9 Peshawar Zalmi16.4 overs147/4 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Islamabad United started on 60%; Islamabad United batted first.

Islamabad United’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Islamabad United's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 26% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 0.2: KR Mayers to MJ Owen, MJ Owen out. Islamabad United up from 22% to 33%.
2nd inns 1.2: BJ Dwarshuis to Saim Ayub, Saim Ayub out. Islamabad United up from 29% to 41%.
2nd inns 5.5: RP Meredith to Mohammad Haris, Mohammad Haris out. Islamabad United up from 31% to 46%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Islamabad United143/9 Peshawar Zalmi147/4

Innings 1