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Indonesia tour of South Korea · 2026/27 · Men
4 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Korea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 37%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (South Korea: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanabowled · Sameera Maduranga 6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sameera Maduranga | 40 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Rohit Sharmacaught · Sameera Pitabeddara · Aamir Lal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sameera Pitabeddara · b Aamir Lal | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
| Dharma Kesumacaught · Chamith Ranasinghe · Areeb Khalid 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chamith Ranasinghe · b Areeb Khalid | 13 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 56.52 |
| Kavin Chaddhacaught · Kuldeep Gurjar · Areeb Khalid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kuldeep Gurjar · b Areeb Khalid | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Kadek Gamantikabowled · Areeb Khalid 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Areeb Khalid | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 91.67 |
| Ahmad Ramdonicaught · Sageer Ahmad · Kuldeep Gurjar 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Sageer Ahmad · b Kuldeep Gurjar |
| 7 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 58.33 |
| Gede Artacaught · Sageer Ahmad · Aamir Lal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sageer Ahmad · b Aamir Lal | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawanbowled · Sameera Maduranga 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sameera Maduranga | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Anjar Tadarusbowled · Aamir Lal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Lal | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Dewa Wiswinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ida Bagus Naranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alam Nakash1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Sageer Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Areeb Khalid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Lal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Daham Madampage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sameera Maduranga0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kuldeep Gurjar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Rohit Sharma, 6.2) · 2-57 (Gede Priandana, 9.1) · 3-68 (Kavin Chaddha, 11.0) · 4-84 (Kadek Gamantika, 14.2) · 5-88 (Dharma Kesuma, 15.0) · 6-94 (Gede Arta, 16.5) · 7-96 (Ahmad Ramdoni, 17.5) · 8-97 (Anjar Tadarus, 18.3) · 9-105 (Ketut Artawan, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 43/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 57/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 60/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 75/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 92/5 |
| 17 | 2 | 94/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 97/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 100/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 105/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.