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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
15 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 45%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Surrey: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Winfieldcaught · Matilda Corteen-Coleman · Grace Harris6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matilda Corteen-Coleman · b Grace Harris | 36 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 116.13 |
| Grace Scrivenscaught · Grace Harris · Danielle Gregory 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Harris · b Danielle Gregory | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 134.48 |
| Alice Macleodbowled · Natasha Farrant 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Natasha Farrant | 15 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Madeline Pennacaught · Alice Davidson-Richards · Natasha Farrant2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Davidson-Richards · b Natasha Farrant | 27 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 108.00 |
| caught · Danielle Wyatt · b Natasha Farrant |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Jo Gardnercaught and bowled · Grace Harris 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Grace Harris | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Sophia Smalenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Eva Graycaught and bowled · Grace Harris 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Grace Harris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kate Coppacknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Farrant0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Alice Capsey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Matilda Corteen-Coleman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Phoebe Franklin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Grace Harris0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 |
1-75 (Grace Scrivens, 9.1) · 2-88 (Lauren Winfield, 10.4) · 3-127 (Alice Macleod, 16.3) · 4-127 (Cordelia Griffith, 16.4) · 5-138 (Madeline Penna, 18.3) · 6-144 (Jo Gardner, 19.3) · 7-146 (Eva Gray, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 52/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 66/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 75/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 107/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 114/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 131/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 136/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 142/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 148/7 |
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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