Quetta GladiatorsversusMultan Sultans

5 Apr 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Multan Sultans won by 6 wickets

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs166/7 Multan Sultans17.3 overs167/4 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 54%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Multan Sultans is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Multan Sultans: 38% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.2: Mohammad Nawaz to Khawaja Nafay, Khawaja Nafay out. Multan Sultans up from 37% to 50%.
2.1: AJ Turner to Shamyl Hussain, Shamyl Hussain out. Multan Sultans up from 52% to 64%.
9.5: Arafat Minhas to RR Rossouw, RR Rossouw out. Multan Sultans up from 58% to 67%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators166/7 Multan Sultans167/4

Innings 1