Guyana Amazon WarriorsversusBarbados Royals

21 Aug 2024 · T20

Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 1 wickets

Guyana Amazon Warriors20.0 overs118/9 Barbados Royals19.5 overs119/9 Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Guyana Amazon Warriors started on 46%; Guyana Amazon Warriors batted first.

Guyana Amazon Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Guyana Amazon Warriors's chances ranged from 10% to 66% during the match (Barbados Royals: 34% to 91%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 10.2: S Ismail to L Harris, L Harris out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 48% to 64%.
2nd inns 19.4: N Latchman to HK Matthews, 2 runs to HK Matthews. Barbados Royals up from 44% to 65%.
2nd inns 19.5: N Latchman to HK Matthews, 2 runs to HK Matthews. Barbados Royals up from 65% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Guyana Amazon Warriors118/9 Barbados Royals119/9

Innings 1