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Eswatini T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
4 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Eswatini more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Lesotho started on 26%; Lesotho batted first.
Lesotho's chances ranged from 0% to 29% during the match (Eswatini: 71% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LM Gabrielcaught · Saqib Anwar · Adil Butt (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saqib Anwar · b Adil Butt (2) | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Chachole Tlalicaught · Jihad Hossain · Muhammad Farooq (2) 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jihad Hossain · b Muhammad Farooq (2) | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
| YYM Jakdabowled · Adil Butt (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adil Butt (2) | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Maaz Khanbowled · Muhammad Farooq (2) 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Farooq (2) | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Lebona Leokaokecaught · Sufyan Naseeb · Umair Qasim 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sufyan Naseeb · b Umair Qasim | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 182.35 |
| caught · Adil Butt (2) · b M Khojbariya |
| 2 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 16.67 |
| Gladwin Thamaebowled · M Khojbariya 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Khojbariya | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Ts'episo Chaoanacaught · M Khojbariya · Umair Qasim 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Khojbariya · b Umair Qasim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Tanki Alber Khetsibowled · M Khojbariya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Khojbariya | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| M Leporoporocaught · T Sandeep · M Khojbariya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Sandeep · b M Khojbariya | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Khautanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 20 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqib Anwar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq (2)0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Adil Butt (2)0 maidens · 13 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 13 | 0 |
| Umair Qasim0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 3 | 0 |
| M Khojbariya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Chachole Tlali, 3.5) · 2-26 (YYM Jakda, 4.5) · 3-33 (Maaz Khan, 5.5) · 4-35 (LM Gabriel, 6.3) · 5-59 (Lefulere Monanthane, 9.4) · 6-78 (Gladwin Thamae, 11.4) · 7-87 (Ts'episo Chaoana, 12.2) · 8-89 (Lebona Leokaoke, 12.5) · 9-90 (M Leporoporo, 13.4) · 10-91 (Tanki Alber Khetsi, 14.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 33/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 46/4 |
| 9 | 13 | 59/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 72/5 |
| 12 | 11 | 83/6 |
| 13 | 6 | 89/8 |
| 14 | 2 | 91/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.