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Myanmar tour of Bhutan · 2025/26 · Men
23 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bhutan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 28%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 30% during the match (Bhutan: 70% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyae Phyo Waibowled · Tashi Dorji 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tashi Dorji | 28 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Htet Lin Oobowled · Tashi Phuntsho 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tashi Phuntsho | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Nay Lin Htuncaught · Tashi Phuntsho · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tashi Phuntsho · b T Wangchuk | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thubowled · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Wangchuk | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Khin Ayecaught · T Wangchuk · Ugyen Dorji 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Wangchuk · b Ugyen Dorji | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Thuya Aung |
| bowled · b Sonam Yeshey |
| 3 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 21.43 |
| Htet Lin Aungbowled · Namgay Thinley 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Namgay Thinley | 8 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soebowled · Sonam Yeshey 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sonam Yeshey | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Swann Htet Ko Kobowled · Sonam Yeshey 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonam Yeshey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Myat Thu Aungnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Kaung Htet Kyawrun out · Tenjin Rabgey, Sonam Yeshey · Tashi Dorji 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tenjin Rabgey, Sonam Yeshey | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Wangchuk1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Tashi Phuntsho0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ugyen Dorji0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Karma Dorji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Tashi Dorji1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Htet Lin Oo, 1.1) · 2-15 (Nay Lin Htun, 2.3) · 3-15 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 2.5) · 4-29 (Khin Aye, 5.4) · 5-47 (Thuya Aung, 9.4) · 6-47 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 10.1) · 7-60 (Nyein Cham Soe, 12.0) · 8-60 (Swann Htet Ko Ko, 13.1) · 9-67 (Htet Lin Aung, 15.2) · 10-69 (Kaung Htet Kyaw, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 15/3 |
| 4 | 9 | 24/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 30/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 40/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 46/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 47/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 54/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 60/7 |
| 13 | 0 | 60/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/8 |
| 15 | 2 | 66/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 68/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 69/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.