Kolkata Knight RidersversusGujarat Titans

17 Apr 2026 · T20

Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 5 wickets

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs180/10 Gujarat Titans19.4 overs181/5 Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 38%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 1% to 55% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 45% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: Mohammed Siraj to AM Rahane, AM Rahane out. Gujarat Titans up from 58% to 73%.
1.6: K Rabada to A Raghuvanshi, A Raghuvanshi out. Gujarat Titans up from 62% to 73%.
3.6: K Rabada to TL Seifert, TL Seifert out. Gujarat Titans up from 73% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders180/10 Gujarat Titans181/5

Innings 1