Rajshahi WarriorsversusDhaka Capitals

27 Dec 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Dhaka Capitals won by 5 wickets

Rajshahi Warriors20.0 overs132/8 Dhaka Capitals18.5 overs134/5 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajshahi Warriors started on 50%; Rajshahi Warriors batted first.

Rajshahi Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Dhaka Capitals is the rest

Rajshahi Warriors's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Dhaka Capitals: 44% to 99%).

Biggest swings

0.1: Imad Wasim to Sahibzada Farhan, Sahibzada Farhan out. Dhaka Capitals up from 49% to 64%.
2nd inns 15.5: Mohammad Nawaz to Nasir Hossain, Nasir Hossain out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 21% to 35%.
2nd inns 16.4: S Lamichhane to Sabbir Rahman, six by Sabbir Rahman. Dhaka Capitals up from 66% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajshahi Warriors132/8 Dhaka Capitals134/5

Innings 1