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Canada tour of Namibia · 2024/25 · Men
23 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 22%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Namibia: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilpreet Bajwacaught · Jean-Pierre Kotze · Jan-Izak de Villiers 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jean-Pierre Kotze · b Jan-Izak de Villiers | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton | 21 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 84.00 |
| YS Samracaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Tangeni Lungameni 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Tangeni Lungameni | 17 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 68.00 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · Tangeni Lungameni · Ruben Trumpelmann 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tangeni Lungameni · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 37 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 142.31 |
| Shreyas Movvacaught · Jean-Pierre Kotze · Jack Brassell 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jean-Pierre Kotze · b Jack Brassell |
| 14 |
| 9 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 155.56 |
| Harsh Thakerbowled · Jack Brassell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Brassell | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Kanwarpal Tathgurnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 6 | 0 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligercaught · Zane Green · Ruben Trumpelmann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Saad Bin Zafarnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Tangeni Lungameni0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 7 | 0 |
| Jan-Izak de Villiers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Dilpreet Bajwa, 6.1) · 2-49 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 8.0) · 3-89 (YS Samra, 14.3) · 4-112 (Nicholas Kirton, 16.2) · 5-119 (Harsh Thaker, 17.1) · 6-120 (Shreyas Movva, 17.5) · 7-133 (Dillon Heyliger, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 40/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 49/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 61/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 68/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 77/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 88/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 98/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 108/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 119/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 121/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 128/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 142/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
