**St George's Park, Gqeberha**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2024/25 · Men

Durban's Super GiantsversusSunrisers Eastern Cape

19 Jan 2025 · T20

St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Eastern Cape won by 6 wickets

Durban's Super Giants20.0 overs115/8 Sunrisers Eastern Cape15.2 overs117/4 St George's Park, Gqeberha ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Durban's Super Giants started on 42%; Durban's Super Giants batted first.

Durban's Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Eastern Cape is the rest

Durban's Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 42% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 58% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.2: M Jansen to BA King, BA King out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 59% to 72%.
2.3: M Jansen to MP Breetzke, MP Breetzke out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 74% to 82%.
5.1: RJ Gleeson to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 81% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Durban's Super Giants115/8 Sunrisers Eastern Cape117/4

Innings 1