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UAE Women's ODI Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
11 Apr 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 52%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 0% to 68% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 32% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gargi Bhoglecaught · Isabel Toua · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Isabel Toua · b HJ Thomas | 7 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 25.93 |
| D Dhingrarun out · Brenda Tau, V Buruka · Sibona Jimmy 6 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Brenda Tau, V Buruka | 58 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 75.32 |
| Anika Kolancaught · Sibona Jimmy · Isabel Toua 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sibona Jimmy · b Isabel Toua | 34 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 53.97 |
 Sindhu Sriharshacaught · Brenda Tau · Geua Tom0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brenda Tau · b Geua Tom | 19 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 59.38 |
| Isani Vaghelabowled · HJ Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b HJ Thomas |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Ritu Singhstumped · Brenda Tau · Isabel Toua 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Brenda Tau · b Isabel Toua | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| JM Willathgamuwabowled · Isabel Toua 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Isabel Toua | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Geetika Kodalicaught · Brenda Tau · Sibona Jimmy 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brenda Tau · b Sibona Jimmy | 13 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 56.52 |
|---|
| AI Chudasamacaught · Tanya Ruma · Isabel Toua 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanya Ruma · b Isabel Toua | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Suhani Thadanistumped · Brenda Tau · Vicky Araa 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Brenda Tau · b Vicky Araa | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Immadinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Buruka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sibona Jimmy2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.2 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 3.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 38 | 4 | 3.80 | 0 | 1 |
| Vicky Araa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Geua Tom0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Gargi Bhogle, 8.3) · 2-95 (D Dhingra, 24.4) · 3-112 (Anika Kolan, 30.2) · 4-117 (Isani Vaghela, 31.3) · 5-132 (Ritu Singh, 36.1) · 6-134 (JM Willathgamuwa, 36.5) · 7-140 (Sindhu Sriharsha, 39.3) · 8-143 (AI Chudasama, 40.4) · 9-160 (Suhani Thadani, 44.0) · 10-160 (Geetika Kodali, 44.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 31/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 38/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 52/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 56/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 58/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 59/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 67/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 21 | 8 | 79/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 82/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 89/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 94/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 95/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 100/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 103/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 107/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 111/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 116/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 118/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 118/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 119/4 |
| 35 | 6 | 125/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 132/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 134/6 |
| 38 | 2 | 136/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 138/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 142/7 |
| 41 | 2 | 144/8 |
| 42 | 7 | 151/8 |
| 43 | 8 | 159/8 |
| 44 | 1 | 160/9 |
| 45 | 0 | 160/10 |
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
