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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
14 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Belgium more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 15%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 0% to 18% during the match (Belgium: 82% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Ravindrancaught · A Raza · Sajad Ahmadzai 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Raza · b Sajad Ahmadzai | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Zahir Mohammedbowled · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai | 26 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 130.00 |
| Muhammad Sobancaught · Shaheryar Butt · R Thapliyal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shaheryar Butt · b R Thapliyal | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| M Bhaijibowled · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Kasir Ahmedcaught and bowled · R Thapliyal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b R Thapliyal | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| bowled · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Kamran Wahidbowled · Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
| L Bloomfieldrun out · Aziz Mohammad, A Raza · Sheraz Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Aziz Mohammad, A Raza | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Amal Jacobbowled · Aziz Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aziz Mohammad | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 41.18 |
|---|
| SA Mohandasbowled · Shagharai Sefat 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shagharai Sefat | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Saqlainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Thapliyal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Sajad Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shagharai Sefat1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahmad Khalid Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheraz Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aziz Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (V Ravindran, 2.0) · 2-35 (Muhammad Soban, 6.2) · 3-50 (M Bhaiji, 9.2) · 4-55 (Zahir Mohammed, 9.5) · 5-55 (RJ Ainsworth, 10.0) · 6-59 (Kasir Ahmed, 11.0) · 7-62 (L Bloomfield, 13.0) · 8-62 (Kamran Wahid, 13.1) · 9-72 (SA Mohandas, 17.5) · 10-77 (Amal Jacob, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 46/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 55/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 59/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 60/6 |
| 13 | 2 | 62/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 63/8 |
| 15 | 6 | 69/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 71/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 72/8 |
| 18 | 0 | 72/9 |
| 19 | 3 | 75/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 77/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.