Brisbane HeatversusSydney Sixers

30 Oct 2026 · T20

Allan Border Field, Brisbane · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sydney Sixers won by 4 wickets

Brisbane Heat20.0 overs154/5 Sydney Sixers20.0 overs157/6 Allan Border Field, Brisbane ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Brisbane Heat started on 43%; Brisbane Heat batted first.

Brisbane Heat’s chance of winning (%) · Sydney Sixers is the rest

Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 6% to 69% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 31% to 94%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: CR Knott to A Capsey, four by A Capsey. Sydney Sixers up from 70% to 85%.
2nd inns 17.1: CR Knott to E Ragg, E Ragg out. Brisbane Heat up from 18% to 32%.
2nd inns 19.6: LK Hamilton to SJ Coyte, four by SJ Coyte. Sydney Sixers up from 71% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 1

Brisbane Heat v Sydney Sixers Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-30

Brisbane Heat154/5 Sydney Sixers157/6

Innings 1

Brisbane Heat

154/520.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Brisbane Heat batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Charli Knottcaught · Amelia Kerr · Ashleigh Gardner 5 fours · 3 sixes	caught · Amelia Kerr · b Ashleigh Gardner	57	47	5	3	121.28
Grace Harriscaught · Alice Capsey · Lauren Cheatle 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Alice Capsey · b Lauren Cheatle	3	5	0	0	60.00
Georgia Redmaynecaught · Lauren Cheatle · Sarah Coyte 8 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Lauren Cheatle · b Sarah Coyte	58	44	8	0	131.82
Orla Prendergastbowled · Caoimhe Bray 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Caoimhe Bray	0	3	0	0	0.00

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Lauren Cheatle0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	31	1	7.75	2
Caoimhe Bray0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	40	1	10.00	4
Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	25	0	6.25	0
Sarah Coyte0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	31	1	7.75	0
Ashleigh Gardner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	25	2	6.25	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	11	11/0
2	7	18/0
3	5	23/1
4	12	35/1
5	2	37/1
6	10	47/1
7	4	51/1
8	11	62/1
9	8	70/1
10	9	79/1
11	10	89/1
12	5	94/1
13	13	107/1
14	8	115/1
15	2	117/2
16	12	129/3
17	6	135/3
18	4	139/4
19	7	146/5
20	8	154/5

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