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Women's T20 Pentangular Series (in Japan) · 2025 · Women
8 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Mongolia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mongolia started on 54%; Mongolia batted first.
Mongolia's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Philippines: 41% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Tugsjargalcaught · KK Donovan · ABY Smith 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KK Donovan · b ABY Smith | 19 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 40.43 |
| B Ichinkhorloocaught · Marica Taira · Angela Busa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marica Taira · b Angela Busa | 12 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 35.29 |
| G Anujinbowled · ABY Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ABY Smith | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| B Namuunzulcaught · AR Valdez · Kyte Gullem Keen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AR Valdez · b Kyte Gullem Keen | 15 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| E Khaliunaanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| M Batnasan |
| bowled · b Kyte Gullem Keen |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
| O Amarjargalbowled · Kyte Gullem Keen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyte Gullem Keen | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| O Erdenebaatarbowled · Kyte Gullem Keen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyte Gullem Keen | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 33 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Donovan1 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.4 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4.13 | 5 | 1 |
| JKD Andreano0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Angela Busa0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 4.50 | 6 | 0 |
| ABY Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyte Gullem Keen0 maidens · 9 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 9 | 1 |
| Ma Luz Barcelona0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Marica Taira0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-42 (B Ichinkhorloo, 10.5) · 2-43 (G Anujin, 11.3) · 3-60 (J Tugsjargal, 16.0) · 4-85 (B Namuunzul, 19.1) · 5-90 (M Batnasan, 19.3) · 6-90 (O Amarjargal, 19.5) · 7-90 (O Erdenebaatar, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 32/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 52/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 75/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 90/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.