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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
5 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 38%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizakat Khancaught · Wasim Al Balushi · Nawed Al Balushi 6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Wasim Al Balushi · b Nawed Al Balushi | 76 | 45 | 6 | 4 | 168.89 |
| Anshuman Rathnot out 13 fours · 10 sixes | not out | 140* | 56 | 13 | 10 | 250.00 |
| Babar Hayatnot out 7 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 63* | 19 | 7 | 5 | 331.58 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shuaib Al Balushi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zubair Al Balushi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Nawed Al Balushi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 16.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Sameer Othman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Wasim Al Balushi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 70 | 0 | 23.33 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Faris Al Balushi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 12.75 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
1-192 (Nizakat Khan, 14.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 72/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 82/0 |
| 9 | 14 | 96/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 106/0 |
| 11 | 21 | 127/0 |
| 12 | 17 | 144/0 |
| 13 | 18 | 162/0 |
| 14 | 7 | 169/0 |
| 15 | 24 | 193/1 |
| 16 | 9 | 202/1 |
| 17 | 17 | 219/1 |
| 18 | 17 | 236/1 |
| 19 | 32 | 268/1 |
| 20 | 19 | 287/1 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.