Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Royals

16 Sept 2025 · T20

Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Barbados Royals won by 7 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs148/8 Barbados Royals19.1 overs149/3 Providence Stadium, Guyana ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 41%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 1% to 85% during the match (Barbados Royals: 15% to 99%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.4: S Pandey to AC Jayangani, six by AC Jayangani. Barbados Royals up from 46% to 61%.
2nd inns 17.4: Z James to C Webb, four by C Webb. Barbados Royals up from 59% to 70%.
2nd inns 17.6: Z James to AC Jayangani, six by AC Jayangani. Barbados Royals up from 68% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders148/8 Barbados Royals149/3

Innings 1