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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
18 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 29%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Hong Kong: 59% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selim Salaubowled · Ehsan Khan 6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 41 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 157.69 |
| Isaac Danladibowled · Mohammad Waheed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Waheed | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Ali Rahmoncaught · Anshuman Rath · Ehsan Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Ehsan Khan | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Sulaimon Runsewebowled · Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Ghazanfar | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Sylvester Okpelbw · Yasim Murtaza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Yasim Murtaza | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
| David Ankrah |
| caught · Mohammad Waheed · b Yasim Murtaza |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| K Bonifacebowled · Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Ghazanfar | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Isaac Okpebowled · Aizaz Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aizaz Khan | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Chima Akachukwulbw · Ehsan Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ehsan Khan | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Peter Ahobowled · Ehsan Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Abdullahi Ismailnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Waheed0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 7 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 4.36 | 2 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Isaac Danladi, 1.2) · 2-44 (Ali Rahmon, 5.3) · 3-64 (Selim Salau, 8.0) · 4-78 (Sylvester Okpe, 11.3) · 5-78 (David Ankrah, 12.0) · 6-85 (Sulaimon Runsewe, 13.4) · 7-92 (K Boniface, 15.2) · 8-98 (Isaac Okpe, 16.1) · 9-125 (Peter Aho, 19.2) · 10-126 (Chima Akachukwu, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 14 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 78/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 82/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 85/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 92/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 98/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 103/8 |
| 18 | 7 | 110/8 |
| 19 | 14 | 124/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 126/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.