Quetta GladiatorsversusKarachi Kings

25 Apr 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 5 runs

Quetta Gladiators19.3 overs142/10 Karachi Kings20.0 overs137/8 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 49%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 2% to 98% during the match (Karachi Kings: 2% to 98%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.2: Mohammad Amir to Mohammad Nabi, Mohammad Nabi out. Quetta Gladiators up from 28% to 50%.
2nd inns 16.3: Khurram Shahzad to Abbas Afridi, Abbas Afridi out. Quetta Gladiators up from 48% to 74%.
2nd inns 17.3: Mohammad Wasim to Omair Yousuf, Omair Yousuf out. Quetta Gladiators up from 67% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators142/10 Karachi Kings137/8

Innings 1