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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2023/24 · Men
12 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 33%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Thailand: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Pradhancaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Robert Raina 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Robert Raina | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| JN Dorjicaught · N Nuntarach · Mukesh Thakur 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Nuntarach · b Mukesh Thakur | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Tenjin Rabgeyrun out · K Namchaikul · Nopphon Senamontree 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · K Namchaikul | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjibowled · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nopphon Senamontree | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| S Lodaycaught · Austin Lazarus · Sarawut Maliwan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b Sarawut Maliwan | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Thinley Jamtshocaught · N Nuntarach · K Namchaikul 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · N Nuntarach · b K Namchaikul |
| 4 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Namgang Chejayrun out · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan · K Namchaikul 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Namgay Thinleycaught · Austin Lazarus · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b Sarawut Maliwan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| T Wangchuknot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 21 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Karma Dorjistumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Sarawut Maliwan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sonam Yesheybowled · Chanchai Pengkumta 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Robert Raina0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 2 | 0 |
| K Namchaikul0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (JN Dorji, 3.0) · 2-20 (S Pradhan, 3.2) · 3-26 (Tenjin Rabgey, 5.1) · 4-27 (Ranjung Mikyo Dorji, 5.5) · 5-38 (Thinley Jamtsho, 9.2) · 6-39 (Namgang Chejay, 10.0) · 7-40 (Namgay Thinley, 11.0) · 8-47 (S Loday, 12.4) · 9-47 (Karma Dorji, 13.0) · 10-70 (Sonam Yeshey, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 27/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 31/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 34/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 39/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 40/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 45/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 47/9 |
| 14 | 10 | 57/9 |
| 15 | 6 | 63/9 |
| 16 | 3 | 66/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 68/9 |
| 18 | 2 | 70/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.