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Saudi Arabia tour of Qatar · 2025 · Men
21 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 66%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 2% to 96% during the match (Qatar: 4% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · Arif Nasir Uddin · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arif Nasir Uddin · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Faisal Khancaught · Arif Nasir Uddin · Muhammad Asim 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Arif Nasir Uddin · b Muhammad Asim | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 188.24 |
| Ali Abbasbowled · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Manan Alicaught · Muhammad Asim · Daniel Louis 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Muhammad Asim · b Daniel Louis | 49 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 132.43 |
| Waji Ul Hassancaught · Daniel Louis · Mirza Mohammed Baig 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Daniel Louis · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 57 | 46 | 3 | 3 |
| 123.91 |
| Abdul Wahidbowled · Daniel Louis 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Louis | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zain Ul Abidincaught · Kamran Khan · Daniel Louis 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kamran Khan · b Daniel Louis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Nawazish Akhtarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Usman Najeebnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Murad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 9.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saqlain Arshad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arif Nasir Uddin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Louis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-15 (Abdul Waheed, 2.0) · 2-31 (Ali Abbas, 3.3) · 3-47 (Faisal Khan, 4.5) · 4-128 (Manan Ali, 16.2) · 5-128 (Abdul Wahid, 16.4) · 6-156 (Zain Ul Abidin, 19.0) · 7-164 (Waji Ul Hassan, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 41/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 48/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 54/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 9 | 13 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 81/3 |
| 12 | 15 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 110/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 118/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 124/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 132/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 142/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 156/6 |
| 20 | 13 | 169/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.