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Finland tour of Cyprus · 2026 · Men
9 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 35%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Cyprus: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaif Jamadarcaught · R Siriwardena · Karan Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Siriwardena · b Karan Singh | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| VS Padhaallbw · Karan Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Karan Singh | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbascaught and bowled · AA Senn 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b AA Senn | 50 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 138.89 |
| Zahidullah Kamallbw · Lovedeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lovedeep Singh | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| A Pusthaycaught · Karan Singh · Taranjit Singh 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Karan Singh · b Taranjit Singh | 43 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 102.38 |
| bowled · b AA Senn |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| NM Salonencaught · Lovedeep Singh · A Shahi 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lovedeep Singh · b A Shahi | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 144.44 |
|---|
| Hammadullah Shinwaricaught · Ruel Brathwaite · A Shahi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruel Brathwaite · b A Shahi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| PEA Karunarathnarun out · Ashish Bam, Taranjit Singh · Taranjit Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ashish Bam, Taranjit Singh | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Junaid Khan (2)bowled · A Shahi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Shahi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Amjad Shernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovedeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Karan Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AA Senn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| R Siriwardena0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ruel Brathwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Taranjit Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 5 | 0 |
| A Shahi0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 10.00 | 6 | 0 |
1-15 (Kaif Jamadar, 1.3) · 2-16 (VS Padhaal, 1.5) · 3-25 (Zahidullah Kamal, 3.0) · 4-100 (Faraaz Mehti Abbas, 13.0) · 5-108 (Jordan O'Brien, 14.3) · 6-138 (A Pusthay, 17.1) · 7-147 (Hammadullah Shinwari, 18.1) · 8-148 (NM Salonen, 18.4) · 9-148 (Junaid Khan (2), 18.5) · 10-163 (PEA Karunarathna, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/2 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 32/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 51/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 73/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 79/3 |
| 12 | 17 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 100/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 107/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 109/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 119/5 |
| 17 | 19 | 138/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 147/6 |
| 19 | 1 | 148/9 |
| 20 | 15 | 163/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.