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Viking Cup · 2025 · Men
8 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 59%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 16% to 100% during the match (France: 0% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Abeyrathnacaught · Dawood Ahmadzai · Zain Ahmad 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dawood Ahmadzai · b Zain Ahmad | 35 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 74.47 |
| Aminullah Tanhabowled · Zaheer Zahiri 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zaheer Zahiri | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Walid Ghauribowled · Zaheer Zahiri 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zaheer Zahiri | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| M Shahbaz Buttlbw · Dawood Ahmadzai 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Dawood Ahmadzai | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Vishal Sharma (2)caught · Zaheer Zahiri · R Mangal 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zaheer Zahiri · b R Mangal | 23 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 88.46 |
| not out |
| 55* |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 8 |
| 289.47 |
| Vinay Ravinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaheer Zahiri0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Noman Amjad0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Dawood Ahmadzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| R Mangal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Aminullah Tanha, 0.5) · 2-20 (Walid Ghauri, 4.4) · 3-29 (M Shahbaz Butt, 7.4) · 4-66 (Vishal Sharma (2), 15.0) · 5-70 (D Abeyrathna, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 30/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 36/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 37/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 47/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 52/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 56/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 66/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 79/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 86/5 |
| 18 | 16 | 102/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 122/5 |
| 20 | 16 | 138/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.