Guyana Amazon WarriorsversusAntigua and Barbuda Falcons

10 Sept 2025 · T20

Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 4 wickets

Guyana Amazon Warriors18.1 overs99/10 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons19.1 overs103/6 Providence Stadium, Guyana ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Guyana Amazon Warriors started on 55%; Guyana Amazon Warriors batted first.

Guyana Amazon Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Antigua and Barbuda Falcons is the rest

Guyana Amazon Warriors's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: 40% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.1: MM Ali to Shakib Al Hasan, Shakib Al Hasan out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 13% to 30%.
2nd inns 6.1: MM Ali to SK Springer, SK Springer out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 18% to 50%.
2nd inns 13.2: G Motie to AA Jangoo, Imad Wasim out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 12% to 28%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Guyana Amazon Warriors99/10 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons103/6

Innings 1