San Francisco UnicornsversusWashington Freedom

4 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Washington Freedom won by 5 wickets

San Francisco Unicorns19.3 overs126/10 Washington Freedom18.1 overs129/5 Knight Riders Cricket Ground, Pomona ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

San Francisco Unicorns started on 46%; San Francisco Unicorns batted first.

San Francisco Unicorns’s chance of winning (%) · Washington Freedom is the rest

San Francisco Unicorns's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Washington Freedom: 45% to 100%).

Biggest swings

5.6: J Edwards to SP Krishnamurthi, SP Krishnamurthi out. Washington Freedom up from 67% to 80%.
8.2: MJ Owen to Hammad Azam, Hammad Azam out. Washington Freedom up from 76% to 86%.
2nd inns 3.3: BL Couch to AGS Gous, AGS Gous out. San Francisco Unicorns up from 24% to 35%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

San Francisco Unicorns126/10 Washington Freedom129/5

Innings 1