Royal Challengers BengaluruversusGujarat Titans

26 May 2026 · T20

Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 92 runs

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs254/5 Gujarat Titans19.3 overs162/10 Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 50%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 0% to 51%).

Biggest swings

1.6: K Rabada to VR Iyer, VR Iyer out. Gujarat Titans up from 37% to 51%.
8.4: JO Holder to D Padikkal, D Padikkal out. Gujarat Titans up from 30% to 39%.
14.3: K Khejroliya to KH Pandya, four by KH Pandya. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 68% to 75%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru254/5 Gujarat Titans162/10

Innings 1