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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
31 May 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 57%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Matthew Montgomery · Dillon Pennington 7 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Dillon Pennington | 87 | 50 | 7 | 6 | 174.00 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Joe Clarke · Daniel Sams 8 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Joe Clarke · b Daniel Sams | 95 | 49 | 8 | 6 | 193.88 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Moisés Henriques · Liam Patterson-White0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moisés Henriques · b Liam Patterson-White | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 109.09 |
 Michael Jonesnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Conor McKerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Moisés Henriques0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-177 (Luke Wells, 15.4) · 2-195 (Keaton Jennings, 17.4) · 3-203 (Ashton Turner, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 52/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 59/0 |
| 7 | 17 | 76/0 |
| 8 | 16 | 92/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 96/0 |
| 10 | 14 | 110/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 116/0 |
| 12 | 15 | 131/0 |
| 13 | 13 | 144/0 |
| 14 | 10 | 154/0 |
| 15 | 16 | 170/0 |
| 16 | 8 | 178/1 |
| 17 | 7 | 185/1 |
| 18 | 13 | 198/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 203/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 216/3 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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