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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
22 Jul 2024 · ODI
Forthill, Dundee · Venue photographScotland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 20%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (Scotland: 79% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PS Athavalecaught · Jack Jarvis · Charlie Cassell 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Jarvis · b Charlie Cassell | 34 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 60.71 |
| Aaqib Ilyascaught · Chris Greaves · Brad Currie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Greaves · b Brad Currie | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Sonavalebowled · Brandon McMullen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brandon McMullen | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Zeeshan Maqsoodlbw · Charlie Cassell 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Charlie Cassell | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 43.48 |
| Ayan Khanbowled · Charlie Cassell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Cassell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Chris Greaves · b Charlie Cassell |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Shoaib Khancaught · Michael Leask · Charlie Cassell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Leask · b Charlie Cassell | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Mehran Khancaught · Brandon McMullen · Charlie Cassell 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brandon McMullen · b Charlie Cassell | 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 188.89 |
|---|
| Fiaz Bhuttnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kaleemullahcaught · Michael Leask · Gavin Main 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Leask · b Gavin Main | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Bilal Khancaught · Matty Cross · Charlie Cassell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matty Cross · b Charlie Cassell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 2.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon McMullen1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 4.80 | 1 | 1 |
| Charlie Cassell1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.4 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 3.71 | 2 | 1 |
| Gavin Main1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Aaqib Ilyas, 0.4) · 2-22 (K Sonavale, 3.3) · 3-49 (Zeeshan Maqsood, 11.1) · 4-49 (Ayan Khan, 11.2) · 5-49 (Khalid Kail, 11.4) · 6-55 (Shoaib Khan, 13.3) · 7-78 (Mehran Khan, 17.1) · 8-85 (PS Athavale, 19.3) · 9-90 (Kaleemullah, 21.0) · 10-91 (Bilal Khan, 21.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 32/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 35/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 36/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 45/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 49/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 55/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 59/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 68/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 78/6 |
| 17 | 0 | 78/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 81/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 82/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 85/8 |
| 21 | 5 | 90/9 |
| 22 | 1 | 91/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.