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Singapore Women tour of Japan · 2024/25 · Women
4 Oct 2024 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Japan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Japan started on 81%; Japan batted first.
Japan's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Singapore: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Kanobowled · JS Pooranakaran 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JS Pooranakaran | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Mai Yanagidabowled · Diviya G K 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Diviya G K | 48 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 106.67 |
| S Katocaught and bowled · Vinu Kumar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Vinu Kumar | 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 94.74 |
| H Gotocaught · LAR Bommareddy · Vinu Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LAR Bommareddy · b Vinu Kumar | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Kurumi Otacaught · DA Galia · C Boyle 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · DA Galia · b C Boyle | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| A Chandelcaught · Diviya G K · C Boyle1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Diviya G K · b C Boyle |
| 11 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 73.33 |
| R Moritanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Seika Suminot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JS Pooranakaran0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 2 | 1 |
| Diviya G K0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| C Boyle1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| I Shukla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Smriti Anand0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Vinu Kumar0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 4 | 0 |
1-11 (A Kano, 2.4) · 2-48 (S Kato, 8.1) · 3-64 (H Goto, 10.4) · 4-82 (Mai Yanagida, 14.1) · 5-91 (Kurumi Ota, 16.2) · 6-100 (A Chandel, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 48/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 54/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 57/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 84/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 91/4 |
| 17 | 0 | 91/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 99/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 106/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 111/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.