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Austria tour of Germany · 2026 · Men
1 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 69%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (Germany: 25% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · Harmanjot Singh · Muslim Yar 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harmanjot Singh · b Muslim Yar | 34 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 113.33 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught · Muslim Yar · S Malikzai 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muslim Yar · b S Malikzai | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 76.92 |
| Zeeshan Gorayacaught · S Malikzai · Fayaz Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Malikzai · b Fayaz Khan | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| A Randhawabowled · Sajid Liaqat 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Liaqat | 29 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 126.09 |
| Waqar Zalmaistumped · Sachin Mandy · Muslim Yar 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sachin Mandy · b Muslim Yar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Fayaz Khan · b Shahid Afridi (2) |
| 22 |
| 17 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 129.41 |
| Irfan Safinot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 0 | 2 | 172.73 |
|---|
| Nageebullah Sultanzaibowled · Sajid Liaqat 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Liaqat | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zeshan Arifnot out 1 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 31* | 11 | 1 | 4 | 281.82 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Liaqat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nooruddin Mujadady0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
| S Malikzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Fayaz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| V Jatinder Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muslim Yar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shahid Afridi (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-28 (Bilal Zalmai, 4.5) · 2-37 (Zeeshan Goraya, 7.5) · 3-69 (Karanbir Singh, 11.2) · 4-69 (Waqar Zalmai, 11.3) · 5-102 (Amar Naeem, 15.2) · 6-114 (A Randhawa, 16.4) · 7-114 (Nageebullah Sultanzai, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 37/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 15 | 62/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 69/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 79/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 91/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 96/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 106/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 114/7 |
| 18 | 16 | 130/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 144/7 |
| 20 | 19 | 163/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.