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Pakistan Women tour of Sri Lanka · 2026 · Women
31 Jul 2026 · T20
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 23%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Sri Lanka: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muneeba Alirun out · Nilakshi de Silva · Sugandika Kumari 9 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nilakshi de Silva | 42 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 175.00 |
| Shawaal Zulfiqarbowled · C Praboda 10 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b C Praboda | 63 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 153.66 |
| Eman Naseercaught · Rashmika Sewwandi · Kavisha Dilhari 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashmika Sewwandi · b Kavisha Dilhari | 21 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Ayesha Zafarcaught · Nilakshi de Silva · Sugandika Kumari 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nilakshi de Silva · b Sugandika Kumari | 17 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 154.55 |
| Eyman Fatimacaught · Imesha Dulani · Kavisha Dilhari 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imesha Dulani · b Kavisha Dilhari | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Saira Jabeencaught · Chamari Atapattu · Kawya Kavindi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chamari Atapattu · b Kawya Kavindi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 162.50 |
|---|
| Umm-e-Haninot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Waheeda Akhtarrun out · Rashmika Sewwandi, Sugandika Kumari · Sugandika Kumari 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rashmika Sewwandi, Sugandika Kumari | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nashra Sandhunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawya Kavindi0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Rashmika Sewwandi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sugandika Kumari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Chamari Atapattu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Kavisha Dilhari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| C Praboda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-66 (Muneeba Ali, 6.3) · 2-127 (Eman Naseer, 15.0) · 3-131 (Shawaal Zulfiqar, 15.2) · 4-138 (Eyman Fatima, 16.3) · 5-163 (Saira Jabeen, 19.0) · 6-169 (Ayesha Zafar, 19.2) · 7-171 (Waheeda Akhtar, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 14 | 64/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 79/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 102/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 107/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 116/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 123/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 127/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 133/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 144/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 154/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 163/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 176/7 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sugandika Kumari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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