Sunrisers HyderabadversusGujarat Titans

6 Apr 2025 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 7 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs152/8 Gujarat Titans16.4 overs153/3 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 45%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 48% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.6: Mohammed Siraj to TM Head, TM Head out. Gujarat Titans up from 49% to 63%.
4.4: Mohammed Siraj to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Gujarat Titans up from 54% to 65%.
2nd inns 3.5: PJ Cummins to JC Buttler, JC Buttler out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 29% to 42%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad152/8 Gujarat Titans153/3

Innings 1