Lahore QalandarsversusRawalpindiz

18 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 32 runs

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs210/4 Rawalpindiz20.0 overs178/9 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 54%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Rawalpindiz is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Rawalpindiz: 0% to 49%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.1: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Shahzaib Khan, Shahzaib Khan out. Lahore Qalandars up from 79% to 86%.
2nd inns 9.2: Haris Rauf to DJ Mitchell, DJ Mitchell out. Lahore Qalandars up from 78% to 86%.
2nd inns 9.5: Haris Rauf to Yasir Khan, Yasir Khan out. Lahore Qalandars up from 87% to 93%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars210/4 Rawalpindiz178/9

Innings 1