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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 58%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 0% to 84% during the match (Kent: 16% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertcaught · Zak Crawley · Joe Denly 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Joe Denly | 16 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 84.21 |
 James Vincebowled · Grant Stewart12 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Grant Stewart | 84 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 182.61 |
| Joe Weatherleybowled · Grant Stewart 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Grant Stewart | 24 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Tristan Stubbsrun out · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Fred Klaassen 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Daniel Bell-Drummond | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 105.88 |
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · Keith Dudgeon · Grant Stewart 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keith Dudgeon · b Grant Stewart |
| 3 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.86 |
| BA Mayescaught · Zak Crawley · Grant Stewart 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Grant Stewart | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| James Fullernot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 5 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Dudgeon1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-89 (Toby Albert, 9.0) · 2-119 (James Vince, 12.2) · 3-136 (Joe Weatherley, 14.2) · 4-142 (Hilton Cartwright, 16.2) · 5-164 (BA Mayes, 18.4) · 6-176 (Tristan Stubbs, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 18 | 59/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 67/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 81/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 89/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 97/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 115/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 124/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 135/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 137/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 147/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 157/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 172/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 176/6 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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