Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusSharjah Warriorz

22 Dec 2025 · T20

Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sharjah Warriorz won by 4 wickets

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs134/9 Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs135/6 Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 44%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Sharjah Warriorz is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 5% to 63% during the match (Sharjah Warriorz: 37% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.6: JO Holder to D Pretorius, D Pretorius out. Abu Dhabi Knight Riders up from 37% to 63%.
2nd inns 19.1: AD Russell to JEK Rew, four by JEK Rew. Sharjah Warriorz up from 37% to 61%.
2nd inns 19.3: AD Russell to JEK Rew, 2 runs to JEK Rew. Sharjah Warriorz up from 58% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders134/9 Sharjah Warriorz135/6

Innings 1