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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 44%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 1% to 61% during the match (Essex: 39% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Shane Snater | 20 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Martin Anderssonbowled · Zaman Akhter 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Zaman Akhter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Shane Snater · Wiaan Mulder 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shane Snater · b Wiaan Mulder | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zaman Akhter | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| caught · Shane Snater · b Simon Harmer |
| 50 |
| 30 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 166.67 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Simon Harmer | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| AS Basracaught · Paul Walter · CE Bennett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b CE Bennett | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nick Pottscaught · CE Bennett · Wiaan Mulder 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · CE Bennett · b Wiaan Mulder | 35 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 159.09 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Shane Snater | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Akif Javednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Michael-Kyle Pepper | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 1 | |
| CE Bennett0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 2 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Aneurin Donald, 2.3) · 2-38 (Martin Andersson, 3.5) · 3-51 (Caleb Jewell, 5.4) · 4-55 (Wayne Madsen, 6.4) · 5-75 (Ross Whiteley, 8.5) · 6-116 (AS Basra, 13.4) · 7-143 (Matthew Montgomery, 17.0) · 8-162 (Nick Potts, 18.4) · 9-173 (Ben Aitchison, 19.5) · 10-173 (Jack Morley, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 50/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 51/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 55/4 |
| 8 | 15 | 70/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 76/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 12 | 11 | 94/5 |
| 13 | 13 | 107/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 117/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 124/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 135/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 143/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 154/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 163/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 173/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.