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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier Group C · 2024/25 · Men
26 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Eswatini started on 14%; Eswatini batted first.
Eswatini's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Nigeria: 58% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Sandeeplbw · Isaac Danladi 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Isaac Danladi | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Adil Butt (2)not out 8 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 88* | 60 | 8 | 6 | 146.67 |
| M Khojbariyacaught · Selim Salau · Isaac Danladi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Selim Salau · b Isaac Danladi | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Umair Qasimlbw · R Abdulkareem 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b R Abdulkareem | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| J Sulemanbowled · R Abdulkareem 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Abdulkareem | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| R Sandeepbowled · R Abdulkareem0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b R Abdulkareem |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 9.09 |
| M Magagulalbw · Isaac Danladi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Isaac Danladi | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| M Jelebowled · Peter Aho 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Peter Aho | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Aminnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Useni0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Peter Aho0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 2 |
| Mohameed Taiwo0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sylvester Okpe1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Danladi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| R Abdulkareem0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Isaac Okpe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-64 (T Sandeep, 6.4) · 2-68 (M Khojbariya, 8.1) · 3-74 (Umair Qasim, 10.0) · 4-82 (J Suleman, 11.4) · 5-92 (R Sandeep, 14.3) · 6-97 (M Magagula, 15.5) · 7-106 (M Jele, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 50/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 62/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 74/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 80/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 88/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 88/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 95/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 98/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 106/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 115/7 |
| 19 | 13 | 128/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 137/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.