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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
9 Jun 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 51%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Lancashire: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Liam Livingstone | 42 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 175.00 |
5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 49* | 29 | 5 | 2 | 168.97 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Singh · b Luke Wood | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | not out |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 275.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| George Balderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-94 (Alex Lees, 8.0) · 2-115 (Colin Ackermann, 9.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 46/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 74/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 86/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 94/1 |
| 9 | 19 | 113/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 128/2 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.