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ICC Women's World Cup Qualifier · 2025 · Women
13 Apr 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 44%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 12% to 99% during the match (Thailand: 1% to 88%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PN Sproulcaught · Natthakan Chantam · Nattaya Boochatham 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natthakan Chantam · b Nattaya Boochatham | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
| Abbi Aitkencaught · T Putthawong · Nattaya Boochatham 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Putthawong · b Nattaya Boochatham | 22 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 88.00 |
| Kathryn Brycebowled · Onnicha Kamchomphu 7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 60 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 103.45 |
| Sarah Brycebowled · T Putthawong 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Putthawong | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Ailsa Listercaught · Naruemol Chaiwai · Onnicha Kamchomphu 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Naruemol Chaiwai · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 38 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 100.00 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Megan McColllbw · S Chaturongrattana 6 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b S Chaturongrattana |
| 57 |
| 60 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 95.00 |
| Katherine Fraserbowled · Suleeporn Laomi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Suleeporn Laomi | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Priyanaz Chatterjicaught · Naruemol Chaiwai · Onnicha Kamchomphu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Naruemol Chaiwai · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Hannah Raineybowled · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Putthawong | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Abtaha Maqsoodbowled · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Putthawong | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Rachel Slaternot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phannita Maya1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Nattaya Boochatham1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 46 | 2 | 6.57 | 3 | 0 |
| T Putthawong1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 3.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Chanida Sutthiruang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Suleeporn Laomi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Onnicha Kamchomphu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 3.40 | 0 | 0 |
| S Chaturongrattana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (PN Sproul, 4.0) · 2-34 (Abbi Aitken, 7.2) · 3-47 (Sarah Bryce, 10.1) · 4-114 (Ailsa Lister, 21.0) · 5-141 (Kathryn Bryce, 26.2) · 6-142 (Katherine Fraser, 27.3) · 7-163 (Priyanaz Chatterji, 32.3) · 8-174 (Hannah Rainey, 35.4) · 9-185 (Abtaha Maqsood, 37.3) · 10-206 (Megan McColl, 41.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 55/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 63/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 69/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 76/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 82/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 93/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 97/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 102/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 106/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 113/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 114/4 |
| 22 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 23 | 4 | 123/4 |
| 24 | 4 | 127/4 |
| 25 | 7 | 134/4 |
| 26 | 6 | 140/4 |
| 27 | 1 | 141/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 143/6 |
| 29 | 2 | 145/6 |
| 30 | 7 | 152/6 |
| 31 | 5 | 157/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 163/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 165/7 |
| 34 | 2 | 167/7 |
| 35 | 5 | 172/7 |
| 36 | 2 | 174/8 |
| 37 | 11 | 185/8 |
| 38 | 0 | 185/9 |
| 39 | 13 | 198/9 |
| 40 | 3 | 201/9 |
| 41 | 5 | 206/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nattaya Boochatham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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