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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
18 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 56%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithbowled · Sophie Morris 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophie Morris | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Danielle Wyattstumped · Eleanor Threlkeld · Sophie Morris1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Sophie Morris | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Sophia Dunkleybowled · Tara Norris2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tara Norris | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Kira Chathlirun out · Fi Morris · Tara Norris 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fi Morris | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| caught · Alana King · b Kate Cross |
| 57 |
| 31 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 183.87 |
 Paige Scholfieldcaught · Tara Norris · Emma Lamb4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tara Norris · b Emma Lamb | 37 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 148.00 |
|---|
| Alice Davidson-Richardscaught · Kate Cross · Grace Johnson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kate Cross · b Grace Johnson | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
|---|
| Phoebe Franklincaught · Ailsa Lister · Alana King 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b Alana King | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gayrun out · Fi Morris · Kate Cross 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fi Morris | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Natasha Farrantnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Matilda Corteen-Colemannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kate Cross0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Emma Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Bryony Smith, 0.2) · 2-17 (Sophia Dunkley, 2.2) · 3-17 (Kira Chathli, 2.4) · 4-50 (Danielle Wyatt, 6.2) · 5-119 (Grace Harris, 13.0) · 6-127 (Paige Scholfield, 14.0) · 7-147 (Phoebe Franklin, 16.3) · 8-153 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 18.0) · 9-168 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/3 |
| 4 | 9 | 30/3 |
| 5 | 11 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 58/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 69/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 72/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 84/4 |
| 11 | 15 | 99/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 109/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 119/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 127/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 132/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 142/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 149/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 153/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 163/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 171/9 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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