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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Ireland Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2023/24 · Women
26 Jan 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 28%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 26% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 74%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunternot out 13 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 101* | 66 | 13 | 1 | 153.03 |
| Gaby Lewislbw · Nyasha Gwanzura 10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 56 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 143.59 |
| Orla Prendergastbowled · K Chigora 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 144.44 |
| Rebecca Stokellbowled · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Laura Delanynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| K Chigora0 maidens · 9 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 9 | 1 |
 Precious Marange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-138 (Gaby Lewis, 15.3) · 2-166 (Orla Prendergast, 17.5) · 3-176 (Rebecca Stokell, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 43/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 52/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 60/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 68/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 76/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 83/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 87/0 |
| 12 | 15 | 102/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 106/0 |
| 14 | 11 | 117/0 |
| 15 | 15 | 132/0 |
| 16 | 14 | 146/1 |
| 17 | 10 | 156/1 |
| 18 | 11 | 167/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 176/2 |
| 20 | 15 | 191/3 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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