Rajshahi WarriorsversusSylhet Titans

16 Jan 2026 · T20

Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajshahi Warriors won by 5 runs

Rajshahi Warriors20.0 overs147/8 Sylhet Titans20.0 overs142/9 Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajshahi Warriors started on 51%; Rajshahi Warriors batted first.

Rajshahi Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Titans is the rest

Rajshahi Warriors's chances ranged from 20% to 93% during the match (Sylhet Titans: 7% to 80%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.1: R Mondol to MM Ali, six by MM Ali. Sylhet Titans up from 29% to 53%.
2nd inns 18.2: R Mondol to MM Ali, six by MM Ali. Sylhet Titans up from 53% to 80%.
2nd inns 18.6: R Mondol to Nasum Ahmed, Nasum Ahmed out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 51% to 76%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajshahi Warriors147/8 Sylhet Titans142/9

Innings 1