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Photo: Gihan Jayaweera
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand tour of Sri Lanka · 2024/25 · Men
17 Nov 2024 · ODI
Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngstumped · Kusal Mendis · Jeffrey Vandersay3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Jeffrey Vandersay | 26 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 65.00 |
| Tim Robinsonbowled · Dunith Wellalage 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dunith Wellalage | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Henry Nichollsbowled · Mahesh Theekshana 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mahesh Theekshana | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 34.78 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · Avishka Fernando · Asitha Fernando 7 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Avishka Fernando · b Asitha Fernando | 76 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 93.83 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Avishka Fernando · Charith Asalanka 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Avishka Fernando · b Charith Asalanka |
| 15 |
| 22 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 68.18 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Kusal Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Mahesh Theekshana | 49 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 79.03 |
|---|
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Avishka Fernando · Asitha Fernando 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Avishka Fernando · b Asitha Fernando | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Pathum Nissanka · Jeffrey Vandersay 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pathum Nissanka · b Jeffrey Vandersay | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithlbw · Jeffrey Vandersay 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jeffrey Vandersay | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhistumped · Kusal Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Mahesh Theekshana | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 5.29 | 3 | 0 |
| Dunith Wellalage0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
 Janith Liyanage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffrey Vandersay0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 4.60 | 5 | 0 |
| Charith Asalanka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Tim Robinson, 1.4) · 2-31 (Henry Nicholls, 8.0) · 3-69 (Will Young, 16.5) · 4-98 (Glenn Phillips, 23.1) · 5-173 (Mark Chapman, 36.1) · 6-173 (Michael Bracewell, 36.5) · 7-185 (Mitchell Santner, 40.1) · 8-185 (Nathan Smith, 40.2) · 9-199 (Ish Sodhi, 43.2) · 10-209 (Mitchell Hay, 45.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 30/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 37/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 41/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 51/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 59/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 70/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 74/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 86/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 23 | 7 | 98/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 99/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 100/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 103/4 |
| 27 | 2 | 105/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 107/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 110/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 111/4 |
| 31 | 13 | 124/4 |
| 32 | 9 | 133/4 |
| 33 | 7 | 140/4 |
| 34 | 8 | 148/4 |
| 35 | 15 | 163/4 |
| 36 | 10 | 173/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 174/6 |
| 38 | 2 | 176/6 |
| 39 | 5 | 181/6 |
| 40 | 4 | 185/6 |
| 41 | 1 | 186/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 189/8 |
| 43 | 5 | 194/8 |
| 44 | 5 | 199/9 |
| 45 | 10 | 209/9 |
| 46 | 0 | 209/10 |
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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